By Matt Tracy
(Reuters) – The rapid growth of private credit lending beyond its traditional market presents potential future risks to the U.S. economy due to lack of oversight and transparency, according to a new Moody’s Ratings report.
Banks in recent years have experienced a rise in competition from private credit lenders: non-bank firms offering non-publicly traded debt mainly to mid-sized corporate borrowers.
Pushed by increasing demand from investors, private credit lenders have recently branched out into alternative lending opportunities outside of this middle-market base such as asset-based financing, Moody’s said in a report published Thursday.
Private credit lenders have recently seen revived competition for financing from banks, which are the traditional lenders for leveraged buyouts and the middle-market.
PitchBook LCD data shows that banks this year through mid-May have refinanced $14 billion of debt previously provided by private lenders. Banks also provided $44 billion of leveraged loans for M&A deals through May 15, roughly twice what they financed over the same period last year, according to Pitchbook.
This has in turn eaten into returns on these investments for private credit investors, leading lenders to find new opportunities such as investment-grade asset-based financings.
“This highly diverse asset class – supported by far-ranging cash flows from receivables and leases – dwarfs growth potential for middle market lending,” wrote Moody’s analysts, noting that banks have begun handing over their consumer loan portfolios to these asset managers.
Moody’s and regulators have highlighted that this “new era” of private credit growth poses a “growing interlinkage of risks,” according to the report, especially as more banks and insurers partner with private credit lenders or participate in their fundraising.
A previous Moody’s report emphasized the risks posed by increasingly popular private credit evergreen funds – which allow investors to withdraw a certain percentage of their commitments at any time. If too many investors withdraw, asset managers could run short on liquidity if and when they need it, according to Moody’s.
Private credit firms have also looked to grow through purchases of insurance companies, giving private lenders additional assets under management, Moody’s said.
Four of the largest publicly-traded alternative asset managers with private credit arms – Blackstone, KKR, Apollo and Carlyle – grew their credit assets under management to $1.3 trillion in the first quarter of 2024 from just $481 billion in the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the Moody’s report.
Lack of transparency remains one of the greatest challenges posed by the market, according to Moody’s. On June 5, a U.S. appeals court vacated an SEC rule that would have provided more information to private investors.
The recent ruling “suggests that enhanced regulatory oversight of the private fund industry may be a distance off,” the Moody’s report noted.
Efforts persist on other fronts to address private credit’s risk, including the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ work on rule changes which would require insurers to increase their risk capital for certain equity holdings.
(Reporting by Matt Tracy, Editing by Nick Zieminski)
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